Episode

AST SpaceMobile Q3 2024 Earnings Call

2024-11-14 41:22 Abel Avellan · Scott Wisniewski · Andrew Johnson · Mike Crawford (B. Riley Securities, analyst) · Chris Scholl (UBS, analyst) · Chris Quilty (Quilty Space, analyst) · Brian Kraft (Deutsche Bank, analyst) · Caleb Henry (Quilty Analytics, analyst)

This episode is a rebroadcast of AST SpaceMobile's official Q3 2024 earnings/business update call (published 2024-11-14), featuring CEO Abel Avellan, President Scott Wisniewski, and CFO Andrew Johnson ('Andy'). Neither of the podcast's usual hosts, Anpanman or Kook, appear.

The headline news is that AST ended Q3 2024 with $518.9 million in cash, up from $287.6 million in Q2. It also signed new multi-launch agreements with Blue Origin and SpaceX (plus ISRO) to launch up to approximately 60 Block 2 BlueBird satellites through 2025-2026.

AST filed for FCC Special Temporary Authority to begin beta commercial service on its first five Block 1 BlueBirds.

Management also disclosed a raised per-satellite cost estimate for Block 2 ($19-21M vs. prior $16-18M), initial validation of the AST5000 ASIC chip, and selection by the Space Development Agency as a prime contractor under the HALO program.

Key Takeaways

  • AST SpaceMobile's Q3 2024 earnings call (published Nov 14, 2024) was hosted by CEO Abel Avellan, President Scott Wisniewski, and CFO Andrew Johnson ('Andy'); it did not feature podcast hosts Anpanman or Kook.
  • The company ended Q3 2024 with $518.9 million in cash, up from $287.6 million at the end of Q2, driven by $153.3 million in net proceeds from public warrant exercises and $144.9 million raised via its ATM equity facility (including $106.9 million from a newly created $400 million ATM facility announced in early September 2024).
  • AST signed new launch service agreements with Blue Origin (New Glenn) and SpaceX, alongside a planned launch with ISRO, giving it secured/optioned launch capacity for up to approximately 60 Block 2 BlueBird satellites through 2025 and 2026 (45 satellites via firm agreements, with options for additional launch vehicles up to ~60).
  • AST raised its estimated average cost of direct materials and launch expense per Block 2 satellite to a range of $19-21 million, up from a prior estimate of $16-18 million, due to actual contracted launch costs.
  • The company filed for FCC Special Temporary Authority (STA) to begin beta commercial service across nearly all of the US on a non-continuous basis using its first five Block 1 BlueBird satellites, which are fully deployed and operating as expected.
  • AST's proprietary AST5000 ASIC chip achieved initial validation; ASIC-equipped Block 2 satellites are expected to offer roughly 10x the processing bandwidth of Block 1 satellites and are expected to begin launching between mid-2025 and Q3 2025, with the next launch still using the same FPGA configuration as Block 1.
  • AST SpaceMobile was selected by the U.S. Space Development Agency (SDA) to compete directly as a prime contractor under the HALO program, its fourth U.S. government contract award; the broader PLEO program budget was also expanded from $900 million to $13 billion.
  • Management estimates that a network of 45-60 satellites would support 'hundreds of millions' of potential subscribers across initial priority markets including the US, Europe, Japan, and the US government.
  • In late September 2024, AST triggered a prepayment obligation on its senior secured credit facility (established August 2023) after raising over $500 million in net equity proceeds, prepaying $48.5 million in principal plus accrued interest to reduce go-forward interest expense.
  • Guidance for Q4 2024: capital expenditures of approximately $100 million and adjusted cash operating expenses (excluding ASIC costs) in the range of $30-35 million, expected to trend toward the low end.

Detailed Discussion7 topics

Q3 2024 Financial Results

7
  • Andrew Johnson Confirmed 00:09:47

    Q3 2024 non-GAAP adjusted cash operating expenses were $45.3 million versus $34.6 million in Q2 2024; excluding an estimated $10.1 million of ASIC-related expenses, adjusted operating expenses were approximately $35.2 million, at the top of prior guidance. Ex-ASIC opex rose only slightly quarter-over-quarter, mainly due to $1.7 million of one-time Block 1 launch-related costs (bonus payments and launch event costs).

  • Andrew Johnson Confirmed 00:09:47

    Capital expenditures for Q3 2024 were $26.5 million versus $21.2 million in Q2 2024, made up of capitalized direct materials/labor for BlueBird satellites and additional facility/production equipment for the 185,000-square-foot Midland, Texas assembly, integration, and test facility.

  • Andrew Johnson Confirmed 00:09:47

    AST ended Q3 2024 with $518.9 million in cash, up from $287.6 million at the end of Q2 2024, marking the first time cash balance exceeded $500 million. This included $153.3 million of net proceeds from public warrant exercises during the quarter and $144.9 million raised from ATM facilities in Q3, including $106.9 million from the newly created $400 million ATM facility announced in early September 2024.

  • Andrew Johnson Confirmed 00:09:47

    In late September 2024, having raised over $500 million in net equity proceeds, AST triggered a mandatory prepayment obligation under its senior secured credit facility (entered into in August 2023), prepaying $48.5 million of principal plus accrued interest and other expenses, significantly reducing go-forward interest expense.

  • Andrew Johnson Company Guidance 00:09:47

    Guidance for Q4 2024: capital expenditures expected around $100 million as satellite production and launch contract payments ramp; adjusted cash operating expenses (excluding remaining ASIC costs) expected in a range of $30-35 million, with an expectation of trending to the low end.

  • Andrew Johnson Company Guidance 00:09:47

    AST has filed a formal application for a long-term export credit agency debt financing package, intended to source cost-effective long-term debt to fund large projects; the company said this work is 'progressing nicely' and will provide updates as appropriate.

  • Andrew Johnson Company Guidance 00:09:47

    AST is prioritizing non-dilutive prepayments from MNO partners and other strategic capital sources over traditional credit financing going forward, though it will continue to consider options for future credit facilities.

Block 1 Satellite Launch and Performance

5
  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:01:47

    AST launched and successfully deployed its first 5 commercial Block 1 BlueBird satellites into low Earth orbit; each carries the largest commercial phased-array antenna ever launched into LEO, and the satellites are now ready to become operational.

  • Abel Avellan Company Guidance 00:01:47

    In the US, AST plans to deliver coverage via more than 5,600 cells on premium low-band spectrum, targeting close to 100% nationwide coverage on a non-continuous basis supported initially by the five in-orbit satellites.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:22:52

    The five Block 1 satellites are operating as expected and performing well; AST is preparing to 'light them up' for close-to-nationwide, non-continuous US coverage, and has filed a Special Temporary Authority (STA) request with the FCC to begin beta service for AT&T and Verizon.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:22:52

    Building the Micron base module for Block 1 (the core building block also used in Block 2) provided significant manufacturing learnings that carried directly into setting up Block 2 production lines; integration with partner core networks and fully autonomous satellite flight/broadcast operations (versus the largely manual operation of BlueWalker 3) were also key lessons learned.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:37:36

    The five Block 1 satellites (plus BlueWalker 3) are 8-meter by 8-meter, roughly 693-square-foot phased arrays; AST has already switched over to Block 2 production going forward.

Block 2 Production and New Launch Agreements

10
  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:01:47

    AST secured additional launch capacity for up to 60 satellites via new launch service agreements with Blue Origin and SpaceX (announced today), plus a planned launch with ISRO out of India (previously used for BlueWalker 1), covering launches during 2025 and 2026 out of Cape Canaveral.

  • Abel Avellan Company Guidance 00:01:47

    Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket offers a 7-meter fairing (double the payload volume of 5-meter-class systems) and can carry up to 8 of the largest Block 2 satellites per launch, roughly double the ~4 per Falcon 9 launch; New Glenn is planned to become operational this year (2024).

  • Andrew Johnson Confirmed 00:09:47

    The newly secured launch contracts enable launch of up to approximately 45 Block 2 BlueBird satellites, with options for additional launch vehicles extending to approximately 60 Block 2 satellites, through 2025 and 2026.

  • Andrew Johnson Company Guidance 00:09:47

    Average estimated cost of direct materials and launch expense per Block 2 satellite is now expected to be $19-21 million, up from a prior estimate of $16-18 million, due to actual recently-contracted launch costs.

  • Andrew Johnson Company Guidance 00:09:47

    Management believes operating a constellation of 25 Block 2 satellites could enable additional funding sources, potentially including free cash flow, to help fund buildout of the remaining constellation.

  • Abel Avellan Company Guidance 00:29:28

    Expected launch cadence toward the 60-satellite target is roughly '1, 4, 4, 8, 8, 8' across the secured launch vehicles; New Glenn is designed to be reusable up to 25 times, with the first launch scheduled this year (2024).

  • Abel Avellan Speculation 00:29:06

    Asked about New Glenn's prior delays and backup plans, Abel expressed confidence based on having multiple launch providers (SpaceX, ISRO, Blue Origin) but did not detail a specific contingency plan if New Glenn slips further.

  • Abel Avellan Company Guidance 00:40:05

    For the ISRO launch, AST expects to use the largest available ISRO rocket for the first launch, then shift focus to New Glenn, SpaceX, and other providers capable of launching its satellites.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:37:36

    The Block 2 satellite is a 2,400-square-foot phased array, roughly 3.5 times larger than the Block 1 array, and is what AST will launch going forward.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:26:21

    In Midland, Texas, AST has scaled up production capability for the Micron modules needed for Block 2 and has made the vast majority of the required investment; the same Micron technology used successfully in Block 1 will be used for the next several Block 2 launches.

AST5000 ASIC Chip

2
  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:01:47

    AST achieved initial validation of its novel AST5000 ASIC chip, representing over 5 years of development, approximately 150 man-years of effort, and roughly $45 million in development costs; Block 2 BlueBirds powered by the ASIC are expected to support up to 10,000 MHz of processing bandwidth, a 10x improvement over Block 1.

  • Abel Avellan Company Guidance 00:21:43

    The near-term focus is launching satellites with either the ASIC or the FPGA configuration to achieve coverage; the next launch will still use the FPGA configuration (same as Block 1), with ASIC-equipped satellites expected in subsequent launches later in 2025, roughly mid-2025 to Q3 2025.

Regulatory and FCC Progress

3
  • Scott Wisniewski Confirmed 00:06:44

    AST filed a Special Temporary Authority (STA) request with the FCC to begin beta services in the US for AT&T and Verizon, building on prior commercial backhaul/TT&C authority; further FCC filings for both space and ground network elements are expected in the coming weeks and months, from both AST and its partners.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:35:09

    AST submitted the STA request the day of the call to turn on the five Block 1 satellites for beta usage covering close to nationwide US coverage; approval is pending but the satellites are fully deployed and ready to operate once authorized.

  • Abel Avellan Speculation 00:31:00

    Asked about space policy under the incoming US administration, Abel said he expects continuity with the prior administration's support for the space sector (which created the SDA) and believes broadband connectivity is a bipartisan mission likely to receive continued support, also expecting government business opportunities to become more relevant.

Government and Defense Business

5
  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:01:47

    AST added 3 new US government contracts, including being selected by the Space Development Agency (SDA) to compete directly as a prime contractor, which Abel called a significant validation of the company's dual-use technology strategy.

  • Scott Wisniewski Confirmed 00:06:44

    The SDA selection is under the HALO program; SDA is the DoD's disruptor for space acquisition established during the first Trump administration with a multi-billion-dollar budget. This SDA award is AST's 4th US government contract, and several contracts could grow into official 'programs of record' worth hundreds of millions in annual revenue.

  • Scott Wisniewski Confirmed 00:20:18

    The HALO program itself could generate tens of millions of dollars of standalone revenue and could act as a feeder into larger programs; the related PLEO (proliferated low Earth orbit) program was recently expanded from $900 million to $13 billion in budget.

  • Scott Wisniewski Company Guidance 00:32:29

    Asked whether the 'hundreds of millions' government revenue figure implies hardware or service revenue, Scott said the contracts are primarily services contracts, though the company could in theory sell satellites over time; AST sees itself primarily as a manufacturer that makes its technology operational for both government and commercial customers.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:33:32

    AST's US ground infrastructure is largely built out already; the government has been testing AST's satellites, leading to the 4 government agreements, some of which are believed to be very significant over time, all under a dual-use setup sharing commercial infrastructure.

Commercial Partnerships and Ground Network

5
  • Scott Wisniewski Confirmed 00:06:44

    AST's partner network includes 45+ mobile network operators globally, covering approximately 2.8 billion existing subscribers; the company's strategy is to select initial coverage markets among these partners.

  • Scott Wisniewski Company Guidance 00:19:02

    With a network of 45-60 satellites, AST estimates initial network capacity in the hundreds of millions of potential subscribers, targeting the most valuable wireless markets globally including the US, Europe, Japan, and the US government.

  • Scott Wisniewski Confirmed 00:35:51

    AST has a definitive commercial agreement with AT&T already announced, and is working on similar definitive agreements with its other large partners; the company has recently increased hiring on the commercial front given strong interest and pipeline activity around these agreements.

  • Abel Avellan Disagreement 00:28:07

    Asked when a definitive agreement with Rakuten should be expected (following Rakuten's own Q3 statement targeting nationwide coverage with AST starting in 2026), Abel said AST already has an agreement with Rakuten, who is both an investor and network operator, and is working on additional in-country applications; Rakuten is slotted as one of the first markets after the US, Europe, and Japan.

  • Abel Avellan Confirmed 00:38:30

    AST has 4 ground stations ready for operation in the US, sufficient to light up 5,600 cells there; internationally, AST is standing up regional gateways with Vodafone for Europe and with Rakuten for Japan, prioritizing network access to partners who have invested in or prepaid services with AST.

Watch Items7

  • FCC approval of Special Temporary Authority (STA) to begin beta commercial service on the five Block 1 BlueBird satellites across nearly all of the US

    Described as 'imminent,' pending FCC authorization Abel Avellan 00:35:09
  • Blue Origin New Glenn's first operational launch, expected to carry Block 2 BlueBird satellites

    This year (2024) Abel Avellan 00:01:47
  • Q4 2024 capital expenditures

    Guided at approximately $100 million for Q4 2024 Andrew Johnson 00:09:47
  • First launches of ASIC-equipped (AST5000) Block 2 satellites

    Later in 2025, roughly mid-2025 to Q3 2025 Abel Avellan 00:21:43
  • Additional FCC filings for space and ground network elements

    Coming weeks and months Scott Wisniewski 00:06:44
  • Additional definitive commercial agreements with MNO partners beyond AT&T

    Expected to be reported 'soon' Scott Wisniewski 00:06:44
  • Launch cadence toward 60-satellite target across SpaceX, ISRO, and Blue Origin launches

    Roughly '1, 4, 4, 8, 8, 8' through 2025-2026 Abel Avellan 00:29:28

Open Questions4

  • When will AST sign a definitive agreement with Rakuten, given Rakuten's own public target of nationwide coverage with AST starting in 2026?

    Mike Crawford 00:27:48
  • Will Blue Origin's New Glenn launch schedule hold given its prior delays, and what backup options does AST have if New Glenn falls further behind?

    Chris Scholl 00:29:06
  • Will AST's government contract revenue (potentially hundreds of millions annually) be primarily hardware sales or recurring service revenue?

    Chris Quilty 00:32:13
  • Will the US government need a bespoke ground system to use AST's network, or can it use AST's existing infrastructure?

    Chris Quilty 00:33:10

Raw Transcript

Show full transcript
[00:00:00] Speaker A: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AST SpaceMobile 3rd Quarter 2024 Business Update Call. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host today, Scott Wisniewski, President of AST SpaceMobile. Please go ahead.
[00:00:19] Speaker B: Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me refer you to slide 2 of the presentation, which contains our Safe Harbor disclaimer. During today's call, we may make certain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, and as a result, are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual events to differ materially from the forward-looking statements on this call. For more information about these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the risk factors section of AST SpaceMobile's annual report on Form 10-K for the year that ended December 31st, 2023, with the Securities and Exchange Commission and other documents filed by AST SpaceMobile with the SEC from time to time. Also, after our initial remarks, we will be starting our Q&A section with questions submitted by our shareholders. For those of you who may be new to our company and mission, there are over 5 billion mobile phones in use today around the world, but many of us still experience gaps in coverage as we live, work, and travel. Additionally, there are billions of people without cellular broadband and who remain unconnected to the global economy. The markets we are pursuing are massive and And the problem we are solving is important and touches nearly all of us. In this backdrop, AST SpaceMobile is building the first and only global cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with everyday unmodified mobile devices and supported by our extensive IP and patent portfolio. It is now my pleasure to pass over to Chairman and CEO Abel Avalon, who will go through our activities since our last public update.
[00:01:47] Speaker C: Thank you, Scott. The last few months have been truly amazing for AST SpaceMobile. We launched and successfully deployed our first 5 commercial BlueBird satellites into low Earth orbit, each one of them the largest commercial phased array ever launched into LEO. We have accelerated our government and commercial initiative as we become operational, and we have secured additional launch capacity for up to 60 satellites to start providing continuous service in the U.S. and other key global markets. Our Block 1 BlueBird satellites are now ready to become operational. Their sheer size and capacity is a unique advantage and a clear differentiator for our network's ability to deliver cellular broadband coverage globally. In the United States, we plan to do this with more than 5,600 cells on premium low-band spectrum, targeting close to 100% nationwide coverage supported by our initial 5 satellites on a non-continuous basis. The ability to successfully unfold this largest-ever satellite is rooted in our innovative design and our 95% vertical integration strategy, which is supported by our deep and extensive portfolio of patents in the field of direct-to-device, a market that we pioneered and invented. With our Block 1 Bluebird in orbit, we're now moving forward with the ongoing integration with our partner networks. In the United States, we also filed our special temporary authority request with the FCC under— we plan to begin beta services in the United States for AT&T and Verizon. Our partners will have the full capabilities of our satellites on a non-continuous basis across all United States, and other key markets globally. On the ASIC front, we achieved initial validation of our novel AFT5000 chip. This represents a competitive advantage developed over 5 years, equivalent to 150 man-years and approximately $45 million of development costs. Our next-generation Block II Bluebird powered by our ASIC are expected to support up to 10,000 MHz of processing bandwidth, A 10-time improvement of our current processing bandwidth from each Block One satellite. Today, we're also announcing new launch service agreements with Blue Origin and SpaceX for the launch of up to approximately 60 satellites from the Cape Canaveral, Florida Space Force Station during '25 and '26. These new agreements in place KSC Space Mobile has secured launch capacity to ultimately deliver continuous space-based cellular broadband service coverage in key markets, including the United States, Europe, Japan, the U.S. government, and other strategic markets globally. Blue Origin's launch vehicle, New Glenn, offers a 7-meter fairing enabling twice the payload volume of 5-meter-class commercial launch systems, as it's well-suited to launch up to 8 of the largest ever Block 2 satellites. The New Glenn launch vehicle is planned to become operational this year. Alongside Blue Origin and SpaceX, we're also planning our next launch with ISRO out of India, who we previously used for the launch of our BlueWalker 1. Taking all together, the launch agreements with these 3 providers, and likely others as well in the future, give us increased confidence that we can achieve our network deployment goals. Additionally, we have recorded several new wins in the government business. We added 3 new contracts awarded with the U.S. government, including being selected by the Space Development Agency to complete directly as a prime contractor. Scott will discuss this in more detail as well. But being selected to participate as a prime contractor for government program is a significant achievement for AST SpaceMobile and a validation of our strategy and dual-use technology that could enable a variety of government use cases. With our successful launch, commercial and manufacturing progress, you can see that a lot of the key pieces of operationalizing the AST SpaceMobile network are now in place. I am incredibly proud of the tireless effort for our team and our partners, particularly over the past several months, getting us to this critical point, which is a step we move closer to achieve our mission of connecting the unconnected. I will now pass to Scott to provide more detail on our commercial regulatory progress.
[00:06:44] Speaker B: Thank you, Abel. I'd like to take the time to provide a little more detail on our commercialization initiatives, including our government business as well as our regulatory progress. Our technical accomplishments to date, including validating our technology and deploying our first 5 commercial satellites successfully, has been a great support for our commercial initiatives, both with our strategic partners, mobile network operators new to AFT SpaceMobile, and the U.S. government. As Abel mentioned, during the quarter, we were selected by the Space Development Agency to compete directly as a prime contractor under the HALO program. The SDA is the Department of Defense's Constructive Disruptor for Space acquisition, put in place during the first Trump administration with a multi-billion-dollar budget. Our selection enables us to compete directly as a prime contractor to the U.S. government for the first time, rather than a subcontractor. This particular program is directly contracted with the FDA and provides us a direct path for accelerated prototype development and the ability to participate on new government programs and requisitions. This FDA contract is our 4th contract award with the U.S. government. And several of these contracts could potentially grow to be official programs of record with hundreds of millions of annual revenues alongside important missions for U.S. national security. In brief, we believe that our government contract pipeline continues to show strength in the near and medium term, with these initial contracts providing clear paths for applications of our unique technology in select use cases, with additional use cases to be further developed. The outlook here continues to improve, and we are aggressively pursuing this business and expect it to be a meaningful contributor of revenue in the years to come alongside our core commercial business. On the commercial customer front, we continue to progress conversations with our key partners as well as potential new partners and expect to be able to report more on this front soon. Our strategy continues to be to select initial coverage markets globally among our key partners, including the 45+ mobile network operators globally who have a coverage of approximately 2.8 billion existing subscribers. On the regulatory front, we continue to advance our approvals. In the U.S., we have been in front of the FCC regularly with our technology, service offering, and in-orbit network, and how it can improve cellular networks for Americans. Most recently, we filed for special temporary authority approval for beta services with our partners in the U.S., leveraging our first 5 Bluebird satellites, building on prior commercial authority to backhaul and TTN. frequencies. You will continue to see additional filings to the FCC, both from us and our partners, in the coming weeks and months for both space and ground elements of our network, all of which align with the growth of the network, reaping the benefits of the FCC rulemaking on supplemental coverage from space. I will now pass it over to Andy to walk you through our financial update.
[00:09:47] Speaker D: Thanks, Scott, and good afternoon, everyone. The 3rd quarter of 2024 at AST SpaceMobile marked the beginning of our critical transition from a space-based cellular broadband company at R&D stage to a full-fledged commercial operating company. We've begun to scale our manufacturing and launch efforts to accelerate our mission, building the first and only space-based cellular broadband network to close the digital divide by connecting the unconnected. The 3rd quarter was highlighted by our successful launch and subsequent deployment of our 5 Block 1 BlueBird satellites from Cape Canaveral on September 12th, each the largest-ever commercial communications array to be deployed in low Earth orbit. I appreciated the opportunity to meet many of our investors and other stakeholders at that event as they shared in the excitement of the launch. The quarter was also significant in our ability to raise capital, both through the redemption of public warrants and our continued disciplined use of the at-the-market facility, or ATM, both of which I'll touch on more specifically in just a moment. Moving to Slide 9, let's review the key operating metrics for the 3rd quarter. On the first chart, we see for the 3rd quarter of 2024, We had non-GAAP adjusted cash operating expenses of $45.3 million versus $34.6 million in the 2nd quarter. Non-GAAP adjusted operating expenses excludes certain non-cash operating costs, including depreciation and amortization and stock-based compensation. Adjusting further for our expected Q3 expenses of $10.1 million, related to our proprietary ASIC chip work, total adjusted operating expenses were approximately $35.2 million, which was at the top range of the guidance I gave during our last earnings call. Operating expenses excluding the ASIC expense were up just slightly quarter over quarter, primarily due to one-time items of $1.7 million associated with our Block 1 launch that included certain bonus payments and launch event costs. Turning towards the second chart on this page, our capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2024 were $26.5 million versus $21.2 million for the second quarter of 2024. The figure was made up of capitalized direct materials and labor, for our Bluebird satellites and additional facility and production equipment for our 185,000-square-foot assembly, integration, and test facilities in Midland, Texas. As expected, capital expenditures trended upward in connection with the ramping of our Block II Bluebird satellite production. And on the final chart on the slide, we We ended the 3rd quarter with $518.9 million in cash, up from $287.6 million at the end of the 2nd quarter, bringing our cash balance above $500 million for the first time. This significant increase in our cash balance from recent prior periods is important for us in providing the ability and the flexibility to move quickly on our strategic objectives including securing the launch agreements we announced today. This quarter-end cash balance includes $153.3 million of net proceeds from public warrant exercises during the quarter and $144.9 million of cash raised from our ATM facilities in Q3, including $106.9 million raised from our newly created $400 million ATM facility we announced in early September. As Abell and Scott detailed, during the early 4th quarter, we secured launch contracts with providers to enable us to launch up to approximately 45 Block II BlueBird satellites, with options for additional launch vehicles up to approximately 60 Block II BlueBird satellites for Through 2025 and 2026. We currently expect our average costs of direct materials and launch expense per satellite for our Block 2 constellation to be in the range of $19 to $21 million, an increase from our prior estimate of $16 to $18 million per satellite as a result of actual launch costs recently contracted. Despite this increase, we feel confident that we are striking the proper and responsible balance between securing ample launch capacity and the desired timeline to augment our efforts to achieve continuous coverage in key markets. As we ramp satellite production and launch contract payments to support this planned launch campaign, our capital expenditures will increase. as compared to prior quarters, and we expect CapEx in the range of $100 million in the 4th quarter of 2024. We believe the operation of a constellation of 25 Block 2 BlueBird satellites will enable us to secure additional sources of funding, including potentially generating free cash flows to fund the buildup of the remaining constellation including additional satellites for those launches recently secured. As a result of our successful issuance of equity producing net proceeds in excess of $500 million, in late September we triggered a prepayment obligation under our senior credit facility resulting in the prepayment of the principal amount of $48.5 million plus accrued interest and other expenses. This obligation was established at the time we entered into this credit facility in August 2023. In doing so, we have significantly reduced our go-forward interest expense. We will continue to consider several attractive options for securing future credit facilities. However, our efforts in raising strategic capital, including non-dilutive prepayments, from our M&O partners as we ready for service continue to take precedence over traditional credit financing sources. Consistent with the first, second, and third quarters of 2024, we estimate that our adjusted cash operating expenses for the fourth quarter, excluding some remaining ASA costs, will come in within a range of $30 million to $35 million As we continue to scale production of our Block II BlueBird satellites in preparation for our 2025 and 2026 launch schedule. We continue to believe efforts to optimize our OpEx will result in a run rate at the low end of that range. These figures will vary depending upon manufacturing activity in each period. Timing of the changes in our adjusted operating expenditures and capital expenditures as I have just described, could be delayed or may not be realized due to a variety of factors. I am also pleased to report that our work on a financing package from export credit agencies is progressing nicely, and we have now filed the formal application for a long-term debt package. If this application is successful, we can use the proceeds to source cost-effective, long-term debt funding of large projects. We will provide updates as appropriate, and we will be working with the partner banks and our advisors to refine our alternatives. Our employees across the globe continue to work hard to drive value for our shareholders as we ready for full-scale commercial operations to deliver the first and only space-based cellular broadband network direct to everyday unmodified smartphones. And with that, this completes the presentation component of our earnings call, and I'll pass it back to Scott.
[00:18:38] Speaker B: Thank you, Andy. Before we go to the queue of analyst questions, we'd like to address a few of the questions submitted by our investors. Operator, could you please start us off with the first question?
[00:18:50] Speaker A: Jeff from New Jersey Ag. The company has stated that 45 to 60 satellites are necessary to provide continuous commercial coverage in the U.S. How many potential subscribers could those 45 to 60 satellites cover?
[00:19:02] Speaker B: Thank you for the question, Jeff. You know, 45 to 60 satellites is an important level for us because it allows us to provide continuous service coverage. And as you see from the announcement today, that's how we sized our strategy around launch services and the agreements that we signed. This basically gives us the ability to launch those satellites and get to a true consumer mass market service offering. With this network of 45 to 60 satellites, we expect to be able to offer a cellular broadband service to many of the most important wireless markets in the world. In fact, the most valuable wireless markets in the world, including the United States, Europe, Japan, the U.S. government, and other strategic markets that we're in the process of selecting. At a high level, with 45 to 60 satellites, we estimate the initial network capacity to be in the hundreds of millions of potential subscribers.
[00:20:03] Speaker A: Sean from California asks, what opportunities does the hybrid acquisition for proliferated low Earth orbit program present?
[00:20:18] Speaker B: Hi, Sean. The HALO program is one being used by the Space Development Agency to bring online additional prime contractors for the DOD and evaluate new prototype technologies. So think of this as a standalone program that could generate tens of millions of revenue for us.
[00:20:35] Speaker D: And you're right, Sean.
[00:20:36] Speaker B: Be a feeder for additional larger programs and use cases. We plan to continue to work with other primes, but becoming a prime contractor, having the flexibility to be a prime contractor in the near term and over time, this is a valuable role for the company to be in. In terms of PLEO, this is a program that is meant to buy services for the DOD that are scalable rather than bespoke. And this is exactly how we've designed our system and our offering. The program has been so successful to date, in fact, it was recently announced that they were expanding it from $900 million to $13 billion. Yeah, that's billions with a B. This is a great example of the extremely positive backdrop that space is experiencing with U.S. government usage, especially in the cases where there's an easily consumable, scalable offering. And we expect that PLEO will be a vehicle for purchasing both communications and non-communications.
[00:21:36] Speaker A: Tanner from Colorado asks, what is the current timeline for delivery of ASIC chips?
[00:21:43] Speaker C: Thank you, Tanner, for the question. Just as a quick clarification, our current focus is actually launch satellites either with the ASIC or the FPGA. in order to achieve coverage. The ASIC is a 10-time network capacity increase per satellite, which is obviously our longer term. The ASIC is taped out, is bring up, is under initial test of production. The next launch will be also with the FPGA, the same configuration that we have on Block 1 satellites. And post that, later in '25, mid-2025 to 3rd quarter 2025, we will be including our ASIC in our subsequent launches.
[00:22:38] Speaker A: Sam from Texas asks, what have you learned from the first 5 Bluebirds manufacturing and launch? Are the Bluebirds responding as expected? Does their refit march?
[00:22:52] Speaker C: Yes, we're happy to report that they are actually operating as expected. We're very happy with their performance. We are getting ready to light them up to cover nationwide or close to nationwide coverage in the United States on a non-continuous basis. And we're starting with these first 5 satellites. And Bluebirds, the Bluebirds, I mean, our main building block, which is the Micron, is basically the same as the one that we use on Block 2. So getting set up to fully vertically integrate the production of that, it was a significant learning and a very important advancement in our manufacturing capability. So that has helped us to set up our lines and our production lines for Block 2 on the most important part of the satellites, which is the building blocks of them, which are the micros. The other aspect which is very important and we have progressed is that we're integrating with these 5 satellites, we're integrating into the core network of our network partners. So we are becoming part of their systems to the core and integrating that towards other network is not a trivial task. And that's something that we're doing with all major operators that we had agreements and they're going to be starting using our satellites, a part of LORWAN. The other one, which is not trivial, it is On BlueWalker 3, the operation of the satellite were very manual, with a lot of people intervention to fly them. These new satellites are fully autonomous.
[00:24:50] Speaker F: They fly autonomously.
[00:24:53] Speaker C: And they transmit and broadcast broadband autonomously. And that's also something that having that integrated into Block 1 translates immediately into Block 2. So a lot of lessons learned. We're in the business that you learn by doing and having been built and flying the largest ever objects that are into low Earth orbit is a significant achievement and obviously a significant learning that stay with the company and move on into the next launches. That will start soon here for Block 2.
[00:25:34] Speaker B: And with that, I'd like to thank our shareholders for submitting those questions. Operator, let's open the call to analyst questions now.
[00:25:41] Speaker A: Thank you. We will now be conducting a live question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 to remove your question on the queue. If a participant is using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from the line of Mike Crawford with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.
[00:26:21] Speaker C: Um, thank you. Could you Um, talk about, um, what you're doing in Midland now to scale production, how long it takes to build a Block 1 or Block 2 satellite today, and then what that, um, timeframe might look like, uh, once you scale up, uh, to more forward production. Hey, Mike, how are you? In midline, we basically have scaled up to have the ability to produce the microns that are required for Block 2 and then basically meet our target of 60 satellites during '25 and '26. We have done the vast majority of all the investment required for that. And basically the same technology that we did launch in Block 1, it would be what it will be used on Block 2 satellites as it relates to the microns for the subsequent Block 2 satellites. So they're basically the same microns, the same infrastructure for the next few launches using our current technology. Micron that is successfully operating now in Block 1.
[00:27:48] Speaker E: Okay, thank you.
[00:27:48] Speaker D: Just one more from me. One of your strategic partners, RocketPen, in its 3rd quarter results presentation specifically stated that they aim to provide nationwide coverage with ASG SpaceMobile starting in 2026.
[00:28:07] Speaker C: When should we expect to see a definitive agreement with Rakuten? We have an agreement with Rakuten already. They are an investor and a network operator. We are also working very hard with them in other in-country applications for the for the Japanese market, but we are already fully engaged with them and we are slotting them to be one of the first markets after the United States, Europe, and Japan.
[00:28:51] Speaker B: Okay, thank you very much.
[00:28:57] Speaker A: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Scholl with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
[00:29:06] Speaker B: Just to follow up on the Launch Services Agreement, any color you can give on the cadence for the 60 satellites potentially being launched, and is it fair to assume it will be back-end loaded? And I believe the New Glenn rocket had been delayed previously. Can you just talk through what gives you confidence you will not see further delays and your backup options in the event New Glenn falls behind schedule?
[00:29:26] Speaker A: Thank you.
[00:29:28] Speaker C: Yes, I mean, as you notice, I mean, what we announced is a multi-launch agreement with multiple partners, including SpaceX, ISRO, and the New Glenn from Blue Origin. We have the ability to actually stack multiple satellites all the way to 8 in the New Glenn, which is roughly double what is possible in the Falcon 9. New Glenn, it is ready to launch this year, and we're working with them in basically accelerating our launch campaign in order to take advantage of the large fairing and the ability to stack a significant number of satellites, as I said, up to 8 with them. So we will— the cadence will be Probably 1, 4, 4, 8, 8, 8 till we get to 60. And the new land is designed to be reused 25 times, and the multiple of them being built, and with the first one scheduled to actually be this year. Great, thank you for that.
[00:30:44] Speaker B: If I can just spin one more. Any thoughts on how space policy or regulation could evolve under the new administration? Appreciate it's still early days, but would love to hear potential impacts you're thinking about for your business. Thank you.
[00:31:00] Speaker C: Well, we believe that this coming administration will maintain what it did in the first administration where the SDA was created. A lot of funding into space was was granted, we believe that it will be an environment of growth for the space sector. And we solve a major problem, which is the ability to provide broadband connectivity in every corner of the United States. That is a bipartisan mission. And we think that there will be significant support for that initiative. in the incoming administration. We also believe that our government opportunities become more relevant, and we see a very good path here. And this is basically what we saw happen in the first administration from 4 years ago.
[00:31:59] Speaker B: Great. Thank you very much.
[00:32:06] Speaker A: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Quilty with Quilty Space. Please proceed with your question.
[00:32:13] Speaker E: Thanks, Scott. I think in the script you mentioned the, you know, potential government revenues in the hundreds of millions of dollars.
[00:32:21] Speaker C: Was that—
[00:32:23] Speaker D: should we assume those are hardware revenues or are those service revenues?
[00:32:29] Speaker B: Hey, Chris. Those are, you know, that was a general sizing over time, right? But it speaks to the contracts we've received. So there's 4 contract awards now, and some of those we think are, you know, phased contracts that have a path over time to getting to programs of record, to getting to those large figures. And that would be, these are all, you know, primarily services contracts that we contemplate, although You know, we have the ability to sell satellites over time, I suppose, but primarily we are, you know, in the services business. We're a manufacturer, and we make these technologies operational for the US government and for our commercial partners.
[00:33:10] Speaker E: I understand. And, you know, it's turned out that the ground networks are often the, you know, slowest component of those— of any sort of a network buildout. Is it fair to assume there would have to be a bespoke government ground system, or could the government use it with existing infrastructure?
[00:33:32] Speaker C: Yeah, our ground infrastructure for the existing— for the US footprint is actually pretty much built. We are not limited to disclose how the government access our network of satellites. What I will say, they have been using our satellites, they have been testing what they can do with them, and that have led, as Scott explained, to 4 agreements, some which we believe will be very significant over time. All of them on a dual-use setup where we have— where we're sharing the commercial infrastructure also for government implementations.
[00:34:28] Speaker E: Good. As long as you deliver the revenues, you don't need to explain the technology.
[00:34:40] Speaker A: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Kraft with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.
[00:34:48] Speaker B: Hi, good afternoon. I had 2 if I could. First, could you just talk about the timeline for testing the 5 satellites you launched in September and putting those into commercial service? And then secondly, Scott, could you give us a sense of the pipeline and level of activity as it relates to signing new commercial agreements with MNOs?
[00:35:07] Speaker A: Thanks.
[00:35:09] Speaker C: Yeah, let me talk about the Core 5 satellites. Actually, they are in operation. We have submitted today an STA, Supplemental Temporary Authority, with the FCC to turn them on for actually beta usage close to nationwide around the United States. And that is imminent and it will be pending authorization to basically beta services on them from the FCC. But they're ready to be operational. They're fully deployed and they are operating as we expect them.
[00:35:51] Speaker B: And Brian, on the second question, you know, we announced a definitive commercial agreement with AT&T. And we're working on similar agreements with our other large partners. Those are important to have in place, you know, before service is offered, but these are long, dense agreements, and they're important because they basically are the legal vehicle through which revenue will flow very quickly. And so those are very important steps. These are big agreements that get right with our partners. And, you know, we've, as you may have seen, we've recently increased hiring on the commercial front because, you know, yeah, the pipeline for these types of agreements and the interest around them is quite strong. And our strategy, as was said, is to go out and harvest those 45+ agreements that we have today and also, you know, talk to additional partners around the world. So that is a good pipeline. It's really been supported by the level of activity we've had in 2024, especially with these first 5 satellites and deploying all of them successfully in orbit. So that activity is good, and we're going to continue to harvest it.
[00:37:08] Speaker C: Okay, great.
[00:37:09] Speaker B: Thanks to you both.
[00:37:14] Speaker A: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Caleb Henry with Quilty Analytics. Please proceed with your question.
[00:37:20] Speaker F: Hi, thanks. Hi, Abel. Hi, Scott.
[00:37:26] Speaker C: One question.
[00:37:26] Speaker F: Sorry if this has already been answered, just the clarification. How many Block 1 satellites does AST anticipate launching before switching over to the Block 2?
[00:37:36] Speaker C: Yeah, no, we've already switched to Block 2. So the 5 that are in orbit, but plus BlueWalker 3, are Block 1 sizes, so 8-meter by 8-meter arrays. And the, the, the, the next size is the 2,400-square-foot phased array, which is roughly 3.5 times bigger than the Block 1. It is what we're launching going forward.
[00:38:06] Speaker E: Okay.
[00:38:08] Speaker F: All right. Thank you. You also mentioned expecting to see more FCC filings for space and ground segment, and you've talked a lot about the space side, but can you give any color on what kind of ground network rollout you need in terms of like how many teleports around the world and where you've progressed with those to date for commercial service?
[00:38:30] Speaker C: Yeah, we have 4 ground stations ready to be in operations in the United States. These are to light up 50 seats on the sails. In in in in in the U.S., we then were turning into Europe and Japan, where we are basically lighting up regional gateways with with Vodafone for for the for the European market, and then with Rakuten in Japan for the Japanese market. And hopefully we'll be announcing. Additional strategic partners coming in for additional markets that we will be lighting up in conjunction with deals similar to what we have done with AT&T and Verizon, and we will then be prioritizing those markets. So we are prioritizing access to the network, to the satellites, to network operators that have either invested or prepaid services with us. And that's where we're focusing in Pacific regions with a lot of focus in the United States as one of the first markets.
[00:39:45] Speaker F: Okay, thanks. And then just one more question. So it sounds like 8 satellites can launch per New Glenn, 4 for Falcon 9. How many are you anticipating for the ISRO launch? And is that with the smaller PSLV or the larger GSLV rocket?
[00:40:05] Speaker C: It is with the largest. We expect to use that on the original first launch, then focus on New Glenn, SpaceX, and others that are also capable of launching our satellites. But of course, we're very, very enthusiastic about the New Glenn. with the large fairing and the ability to launch up to 8 of the large ones that we have.
[00:40:35] Speaker B: All right.
[00:40:43] Speaker A: Thank you. And we have reached the end of the question and answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Scott Wroblewski for closing comments.
[00:40:51] Speaker B: Thank you, operator. We want to thank all of our shareholders and research analysts for joining the call. and everyone's continued strong support of our mission. We look forward to providing further updates. Thank you.
[00:41:05] Speaker A: And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
[00:41:13] Speaker C: To stay up to date on developments with AST, subscribe to Connected Space and like for more videos.

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